Monday, November 29, 2021

Probability of Bangladesh v Pakistan first test, being played at Chattogram, Bangladesh

The on-going test match, between two unpredictable cricket teams i.e. Bangladesh and Pakistan locking their horns for a better position in WTC 2023 aka #WTC23, as Bangladesh going to start current season of world test championship, keeping in mind, No matter the length of the series, each Test will now see 12 points awarded for a win, four for a draw and six for a tie. Hence, a five-Test series will have a total of 60 points available and a two-Test series a maximum of 24. Hence, number of series won doesn't matter, instead winning individual games does matter, as series played and series won poised worry in scenarios, where Pakistan can't play India, nor India couldn't play Pakistan due to governmental issues, furthermore previous world test championship i.e. World Test Championship 2019 got hampered regularly and periodically due to on-going pandemic, ICC scrapped Series-played and Series-won scenarios from previously concluded WTC.

Current Standings

 

Day five scenarios for both the teams

If Pakistan wins

As a Pakistan, I hope and wish that Pakistan wins tomorrow and gain points in current world test championship, but the way Pakistan batting deteriorated on day three of this test match, I fear the similar way, Pakistan ended day four, I won't be surprised if by any means, result goes South for Pakistan. But if Pakistan wins, it'd make this change to the WTC 2023.
Because now in current standings, winning percentage matters, instead of previous WTC standings where series-played and series-won was main matter, but not in current WTC standings, as we can see SL after winning Galle Test against West Indies, have the best winning percentage but it is just after one single game, whereas South Africa and Australia are yet to open their account in current WTC. But these ratios matter the most in current edition.

If Bangladesh turns the table and wins tomorrow

Being Devil's Advocate and act like Honorable Mr. Athar Ali Khan Sahab, and Bangladesh wins, for which I have a percentage in my mind, as I remember how Pakistan batting was cleaned up by Taijul Islam, and Pakistanis didn't had any clue.
Hence, on the basis of above mentioned position, I want Pakistan to win but Bangladesh does contains ingredients for making the penultimate day of first test between two teams interesting and still after conclusion in either of the scenarios, would make the standings in WTC 2023 quite interesting.

Points Table Tally on 29th November 2021

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